Tuesday, May 6, 2008

Yen Crosses: Corrections Continue but Larger Trend Still Down

The choppy decline since the October high at 91.42 may be a series of 1st and 2nd waves. Under this count, the NZDJPY needs to remain below 88.11 for a C wave decline that will eventually come under 74.25 to remain on track. An alternate count treats the entire drop from 91.42 is an ending diagonal (similar to the EURJPY). Under this alternate, a wave 2 correction is underway towards fibo resistance in the 84/85.80 area. A rally through 88.11 would make this the preferred count. In both cases, lower prices are expected. The outcome would be delayed under the alternate count.

1 comment:

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